bellwether counties epoch times10 marca 2023
Ohios Ottawa County: Staying Afloat as One of the Top Bellwether Counties in the Country. Its education level is a little lower25 percent have a bachelors degree or higher, compared to, nationally. He said Vigo County is fairly evenly divided between those who identify as Republicans and those who identify as Democrats. When gas went up that time, our sales went down to zero, Zulch said. They run the gamut from. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of the state between Toledo and Cleveland, the area has a population of 40,364, according to the 2020 Census. The All-Or-Nothing Bellwether: These are states or counties that choose the national winner every time. I think it worked out without me.. Greg Abbott of Texas as a possible presidential candidate. The Upper Mississippi River Valley and it [sic] surrounding area, in particular, appears to be an epicenter of these high-scoring bellwethers., Teresa Shepherd, resident of the Indiana bellwether county of Vigo, in front of her daughters house in Seelyville, Ind., on Oct. 20, 2020. Vigo County's most recent winning streak ended this year, as it did for nearly all the country's reliable bellwethers, most of them blue-collar, overwhelmingly white communities in the Rust Belt. What Should Fiscal and Social Policy in a Sustainable Economy Look Like? Its kind of like used-car salesmen: if their lips are moving, theyre probably lying.. Michael Sakal is a former reporter for The Epoch Times. Two states have announced recounts. He said hes concerned but hopeful for the future. But, he said, he also doesnt complain. The way he spoke to President Trump bothers me even more, because hes speaking to my president. More importantly, someone needs to be in office who understands that running the country is like running a business, said Hawker, who worked as a staff engineer for Bendix Braking Systems in Elyria for 52 years. Jeff Myers, a lifelong Vigo County resident in Riley, on the other hand, wont let the big events of the day, such as riots and the pandemic, determine his vote. We shouldnt be fighting among each other here. All the negativity, and just pure anger for this one person in office I have never seen it before. A 75-year-old retiree who owned a transportation and logistics business didnt want to be named and told The Epoch Times hes been skeptical of government since he was 30. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000. Nestled along Lake Erie in the northwest of. There is another bellwether list of 58 counties that has correctly picked each president since 2000; Trump won 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. Wood Countyaswith Ottawa County, its neighbor to the east along Lake Erieis filled with farm fields, is home to many military veterans (about 7,000 of them), and hasnt seen much expansion or change since the late 1970s or early 1980s. He said hes had trouble getting a job for much of his life, because he was found guilty of a felony drug offense as a young man. The ongoing coronavirus restrictions seem to be nudging people to the right, but six weeks out from the election and with the October surprises still to come, the Keystone State could be the clincher for either candidate. This year, after seeing the country shut down amid the pandemic, and seeing riots break out in many cities, I just think its time that I should start voting, she said. Racine County, WI might be the single best bellwether: if it called all the elections with missing data elections correctly, it would have 86% correct. In the southern area just off Interstate 75 sits Bowling Green, the county seat and home of Bowling Green State University and Doyt L. Perry Stadium, where the Falcons draw large crowds in the Mid-American Conference. Second, when we examine a short string of elections, we do indeed, find that some counties go with the winner in all (or virtually all the elections). He is his own worst enemy.. Trump swiped 51 of them by an average margin of nearly 15 points. She said her husband will vote for Trump, too. This includes personalizing content and advertising. March 1, 2023 8:28 PM PT. Even Heidi Mackey, the clerk inside the station who said she hasnt voted since 2018, said shell likely vote in the May 3 primary. The upper Midwest, upstate New York, and northern New England are home to a disproportionate share of high-scoring counties, they said. By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Use. Bellwethers arent a crystal balltheir streak was expected to end sooner or later. She shook her head at the high price of gas. Miller doesnt hesitate to say that he isnt happy with the current state of affairs and he doesnt know who hell vote for in the next presidential election. Of Wood Countys 92,119 registered voters, 9,479 of them are Democrats, 8,315 are Republicans, and 74,240 are independents, according to numbers from the Board of Elections. Comparing the most recent elections (2000-2020) to those in earlier periods (1960-1980), we find a striking decline in the proportion of bellwether counties, i.e., those with correct prediction in past elections. Nothing is free, Hawker said. He won Ohio by eight, Iowa by eight. I dont listen to the news. Theyre scared. We have vendors and suppliers we contract with, Chamberlin said. In addition to Florida Gov. Hes concerned a Biden administration would mean an end to fracking, higher gas prices, and utility bill hikes. Trump is challenging the results in several states, alleging fraud, voter suppression, and illegal restrictions on Republican poll watchers. Our roads need to be fixed. Why are you trying so hard to get this one guy out of office? he said of the disproven Russian collusion accusations and the presidents impeachment. Many counties in states that have reliably voted for one party for many cycles are home to counties which have almost always voted for the winner of the election; for example, South Carolina has two strong bellwether counties despite being a reliably Republican state, and California has a number of strong bellwethers in its central valley despite being a reliably Democratic state.. I know a lot of people dont like him, because of his tweets and things that he says, and I kind of agree with that. As a father, I would be curious about what my kids are doing.. I am under that impression. Copyright 2000 - 2023 The Epoch Times Association Inc. All Rights Reserved. To accept cookies, click continue. The county is more white than the rest of the nationabout, nationally, according to census data. One such claim is that Trumps victories in 2020 in the vast bulk of the counties that had previously been labeled as bellwethers proved that Trump really won the election and was denied the victory because of fraud. Miller cited seeing some retail and light industrial development around the county in recent yearsa Bass Pro Shops store in Bowling Green, a 1 million-square-foot expansion for First Solar in Perrysburg in 2018, and downtown revitalization in Bowling Green. The Princeton political scientist, Edward Tufte opens his 1975 co-authored article on bellwethers with: Prior to the 1936 presidential election, the conventional political wisdom had it that as Maine voted, so went the rest of the nation. With all the inflation, its challenging, and can be tricky to run a business, Miller, 58, said. He also intends to vote in personto ensure his vote is counted that day, although he used a mail-in ballot to vote in the primary. Port Clinton, Ohio. Since the 2020 elections, there also have been 879 newly-registered voters bringing the total to 30,248, Board of Elections director Carol Ann Hill told The Epoch Times. Hawker told The Epoch Times he voted for Trump in both the 2016 and 2020 presidential elections, and if he wouldve been re-elected, the country wouldnt be facing the problems they are having now. It bisects six counties Hillsborough, Polk, Osceola, Orange, Seminole and Volusia but is far bigger than the . For Tisdell, the two major issues that weigh on his mind this year are the riots and the pandemic. Residents who were asked about any candidate choices tended to be true to their reputation as a bellwether county, with more of a wait-and-see type of attitude of seeing whos going to step up as a presidential candidate in 2024. What are they going to do about gun rights? he said. Edie Martin is struggling to get her diner back in the black after being closed for almost three months over the pandemic. Biden Extends National Emergency Due to Extraordinary Threat of Russian Actions in Ukraine, Tulsi Gabbard Says Election Fraud a 'Serious Threat,' Announces Bill Targeting Ballot Harvesting. Previously, he covered national topics including politics, economy, education, and law enforcement. This includes personalizing content and advertising. Epoch Times: "Bellwether Counties Went Overwhelmingly for Trump in 2020" Find UFOs, The Apocalypse, New World Order, Political Analysis, Alternative Health, Armageddon, Conspiracies, Prophecies, Spirituality, Home Schooling, Home Mortgages and more, in: Rumor Mill News Reading Room, Current Archive Tammy, who didnt want to provide her last name, told The Epoch Times that during the summer leading up to the 2020 presidential election, the area had a regatta on Lake Erie in Marblehead in support of Donald Trump. Today, there are also 14,183 independents registered to vote and five libertarians, according to the Ottawa Countys Board of Elections website. Figure 1 Counties expected to have unbroken or near unbroken string of correct matches with national election outcome if each county has a 50 percent chance of voting for the winner. But you cant winem all, Beggs, 80, told The Epoch Times. I think thats what the world needed. At 6:30 pm we kick off an evening that showcases and celebrates Ukrainian arts and culture. I just got on Social Security disability, because I cant work anymore. Its education level is a little lower25 percent have a bachelors degree or higher, compared to 33 percent nationally. You have to take the lesser of two evils. Shepherds family, on the other hand, wasnt much interested in politics. He loves his country to the point where he wants it to do well.. Its just stupid, she said. We believe that there are two main reasons. The counties are also mostly small and rural. Just two have populations in excess of 100,000, the authors said. Trump is challenging the results in several states, alleging fraud, voter suppression, and illegal restrictions on Republican poll watchers. For decades, the bellwethers were a host of fairly conservative but traditionally Democratic rural counties. Portman wont be seeking reelection; seven Republicans are competing in the primary election for the partys nomination: Matt Dolan, Mike Gibbons, Josh Mandel, Neil Patel, Mark Pukita, Jane Timken, and J.D. The counties are also mostly small and rural. The county, which includes spring and summer destinations such as Kelleys Island, Marblehead, and Put-in-Bay, currently is in hibernation. Now the places emerging as possible new bellwethers have more racially diverse populations. Theres significant variability among them though. When he became a Christian, he struggled with his unions blind support for Democratic candidates, most of whom arent pro-life, he said. If we dont stop them, if we dont take a stand basically were moving into socialism.. But theyre happy with that and theyre proud of what they created. They can try all they can to prevent whatever they want to prevent, but nature is going to run its course, no matter what, Tisdell said. The last time Ottawa County deviated from its winning choice for president was in 1960 when the county supported Republican Richard Nixon, but Democrat John F. Kennedy won. Over the past nearly 40 years, presidential elections have observed an intriguing phenomenon: 19 counties in the nation have always voted for the winner, be it Republican or Democrat. He also believes many local Biden voters made the decision to vote for the Democratic candidate years ago, but theyre not going to be vocal about it.. Every time you pass a law, the government becomes more oppressive. While declining to say which political party he supports or how he votes, he told The Epoch Times that he used to work at the Frickers in Findlay, which is south of Bowling Green, but transferred to his current location last year because of the high price of gas. He says Democratic Gov. Richard Zulch, an Army veteran who served in Vietnam as a combat engineer from 1969 through 1971 and is the quartermaster for Veterans of Foreign Wars Post 4811 in Bowling Green, said he has been able to see the political landscape from both sides of the fence. Armagost was lucky during the shutdowns, as bike shop repairs and maintenance were considered essential and he remained in business. Competing for the Democratic nomination are John Cranley and former Dayton Mayor Nan Whaley. Vance. But the thing that stuck out in my head, every time I read or listened to anything about [Obamas] policies, I saw such a deep revival of division, causing division between the blacks and the whites again, Jacobs said on Sept. 17. Visual inspection suggests that, like other counties, they voted in 2020 roughly as they did in 2016; given this (and given that many of these counties went solidly for Trump in 2016), it is unsurprising that Biden won only one of them. Thats about 43 percent of the eligible voters in the country, according to a study of nonvoters overseen by professors at Tufts University and Stony Brook University. And the thing is, when they have these laws now that they arent enforcing, what good is another law going to be? With the price of gas going up, Zulch is afraid of a return to high fuel prices caused by Hurricane Katrina in Louisiana 16 years ago and that soaring costs will again hurt his business. Finally, numerical bellwether scores for all 3142 counties in the US were computed based upon the number of . The 19 bellwether counties are highlighted in red. Notify me of follow-up comments by email. And its never going to come back.. (Cara Ding/The Epoch Times). A state is considered a "bellwether state" if it usually . Its been a long time since we were fully staffed with 35 cooks. Eleven of the 19 were located in just six Midwestern states, and Wisconsin alone is home to four, they said. What happened to our Democratic Party? President Trump won every single bellwether county, except Clallam County in Washington. With respect to the notion that bellwethers are demographically representative, this appears not to true. And its just so easy to snowball it to where chances are, if youre not very careful and work very hard in the other direction, you may just [continue a life of crime].. Our infrastructure is in bad shape.. And it can happen.. While Zulch said he voted for Trump in both presidential elections, he says hell have to wait and see who runs before saying who he would vote for in 2024. Half the people are just wearing rags on top of their face.
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